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SPY 20% off its high

Too few

“Buy $1,000 of SPY if it's trading more than 20% below its 52-week high.”

As tested: SPY closes 20%+ under its 52-week high (first time since the last high) → buy at the next open. The prompt never says when to sell, so this holds 60 sessions and compares with buying SPY on any day.

Edge per trade+11.34%% vs buying SPY on any day, per trade
t-stat—too few to measure
Trades2Sep 1, 2016 – Oct 12, 2026
Win rate100%beat the comparison
Last 12 months—0 signals

Why too few

Year by year

2020
+19.77%1
2022
+2.92%1

Every signal

SignalBasketComparisonEdge
Jun 13, 2022 +6.60%+3.68% +2.92%
Mar 12, 2020 +23.45%+3.68% +19.77%