Public
Retail darlings
Too few
“Track a basket of 10 retail stock darlings, if they're oversold, create a generated asset with these names for $5,000.”
From Public
As tested: Equal-weight basket of TSLA, NVDA, PLTR, AMD, SOFI, HOOD, GME, AMC, COIN, RIVN (each from its listing date). The basket's 14-day RSI crosses under 30 → buy the basket at the next open, hold 20 sessions. Measured against holding SPY.
Hindsight: these are today's names. The basket knows who survived and got popular, so the backtest flatters the card.
Edge per trade+3.10%% vs SPY, per trade
t-stat1.0095% range -3.00 to +9.19
Trades12Sep 1, 2016 – Oct 12, 2026
Win rate50%beat the comparison
Last 12 months-8.22%1 signals
Why too few
- 12 closed trades. Needs at least 15 to call.
Year by year
2017
-0.93%1
2018
+0.72%3
2019
-9.78%1
2022
+7.23%3
2023
-3.87%1
2024
+30.79%1
2025
+5.32%1
2026
-8.22%1
Every signal
| Signal | Basket | Comparison | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | -10.50% | -2.28% | -8.22% |
| Mar 10, 2025 | -4.25% | -9.56% | +5.32% |
| Apr 15, 2024 | +33.95% | +3.16% | +30.79% |
| Aug 22, 2023 | -3.65% | +0.21% | -3.87% |
| Dec 23, 2022 | +21.71% | +4.59% | +17.13% |
| May 9, 2022 | +8.83% | +2.78% | +6.04% |
| Jan 18, 2022 | -4.11% | -2.63% | -1.49% |
| May 13, 2019 | -7.33% | +2.45% | -9.78% |
| Dec 21, 2018 | +14.15% | +10.17% | +3.98% |
| Nov 20, 2018 | -6.68% | -7.05% | +0.38% |
| Mar 23, 2018 | -0.50% | +1.69% | -2.20% |
| Nov 2, 2017 | +1.67% | +2.60% | -0.93% |