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My agent

Episodic pivot

Too few

“Buy stocks that gap up 10% or more at the open on the break of the 15-minute opening-range high, if the range trades at least a quarter of a normal day's volume. Risk 0.5%, stop at the opening-range low. Trail the 50-day; fast movers (ADR 8%+) trail the 20-day. Not in a bear tape.”

Edge per trade+0.26RR per trade
t-stat—too few to measure
Trades869Sep 1, 2016 – Oct 12, 2026
Win rate27%closed green
CAGR11.0%at its own risk size
Max drawdown-15.6%equity, peak to trough
Last 12 months-0.47R113 signals

Year by year

2016
-0.65R27
2017
+0.26R89
2018
+0.42R61
2019
+0.16R75
2020
+0.54R112
2021
+0.13R102
2022
-0.43R45
2023
+1.20R76
2024
+0.10R96
2025
+0.54R111
2026
-0.51R75

Live forward test

Paper-tracked since Oct 1, 2026 on days the backtest never saw. 2 trades so far. Editing the rule restarts the clock.

Latest trades

TickerInOutResultExit
PCRXOct 8, 2026Oct 12, 2026 +0.03Ropen
OPCHOct 6, 2026Oct 6, 2026 -1.48Rstop
RXOOct 5, 2026Oct 5, 2026 -1.06Rstop
SBSOct 5, 2026Oct 12, 2026 +2.16Ropen
PAGSOct 5, 2026Oct 12, 2026 +0.44Ropen
SIGSep 9, 2026Oct 12, 2026 +1.17Ropen
ROIVSep 8, 2026Sep 22, 2026 -1.02Rstop
MRNAAug 19, 2026Oct 12, 2026 +5.97Ropen
HTFLAug 14, 2026Oct 12, 2026 +2.77Ropen
UMACAug 14, 2026Aug 18, 2026 -1.17Rgap stop
BIRKAug 13, 2026Aug 13, 2026 -1.02Rstop
SEAug 11, 2026Aug 13, 2026 -1.02Rstop
ABCLAug 10, 2026Oct 12, 2026 +2.13Ropen
NESRAug 10, 2026Sep 14, 2026 -1.01Rstop
ACHRAug 10, 2026Aug 10, 2026 -1.02Rstop
MGNIAug 6, 2026Sep 2, 2026 -1.01Rstop
PAYCAug 6, 2026Aug 12, 2026 -1.02Rstop
APPSAug 5, 2026Aug 6, 2026 -1.01Rstop
TVTXAug 5, 2026Aug 7, 2026 -1.02Rstop
INTAAug 5, 2026Aug 6, 2026 -1.03Rstop
PYPLJul 15, 2026Aug 28, 2026 -1.04Rstop
QTTBJul 13, 2026Jul 15, 2026 -1.01Rstop
VODJul 10, 2026Sep 30, 2026 +6.97Rtrail
WULFJul 6, 2026Jul 6, 2026 -1.02Rstop
CCXIJun 29, 2026Jul 13, 2026 -1.02Rgap stop