← The board

My agent

Breakout on the pivot

Too few

“Buy any A+ breakout on a break of the pivot, risk half a percent, stop at the low of the day. Sell a third after 4 days only if it's green, stop to breakeven, trail the rest on a close below the 20-day. Not in a bear tape.”

Edge per trade+0.09RR per trade
t-stat—too few to measure
Trades465Sep 1, 2016 – Oct 12, 2026
Win rate30%closed green
CAGR2.7%at its own risk size
Max drawdown-20.9%equity, peak to trough
Last 12 months+0.18R53 signals

Year by year

2016
-0.22R9
2017
-0.23R25
2018
+0.12R35
2019
-0.07R38
2020
+0.44R79
2021
-0.18R60
2022
-0.65R21
2023
-0.22R53
2024
+0.93R53
2025
-0.41R54
2026
+0.54R38

Live forward test

Paper-tracked since Oct 1, 2026 on days the backtest never saw. 1 trades so far. Editing the rule restarts the clock.

Latest trades

TickerInOutResultExit
TEAMOct 8, 2026Oct 8, 2026 -1.07Rstop
AVAHSep 9, 2026Sep 17, 2026 +0.18Rbreakeven
NWLAug 31, 2026Sep 1, 2026 -1.02Rstop
REPLAug 25, 2026Sep 3, 2026 +0.07Rbreakeven
BWINAug 24, 2026Aug 24, 2026 -1.05Rstop
KNSAAug 20, 2026Aug 20, 2026 -1.07Rstop
AVTRAug 19, 2026Sep 22, 2026 +1.42Rma20 close
GSHDAug 19, 2026Aug 31, 2026 +0.24Rbreakeven
NSPAug 19, 2026Aug 20, 2026 -1.06Rgap stop
CORTAug 17, 2026Aug 28, 2026 +1.41Rbreakeven
DNTHAug 14, 2026Aug 20, 2026 -1.02Rstop
CBRLAug 13, 2026Aug 13, 2026 -1.07Rstop
BFLYAug 10, 2026Aug 14, 2026 -1.49Rgap stop
QTTBAug 6, 2026Aug 6, 2026 -1.03Rstop
QTTBAug 5, 2026Aug 5, 2026 -1.03Rstop
VSXYJun 26, 2026Jul 1, 2026 -1.05Rstop
CMPSJun 26, 2026Jul 1, 2026 -1.03Rstop
ACLSJun 9, 2026Jun 9, 2026 -1.02Rstop
SEZLJun 8, 2026Jul 13, 2026 +3.50Rtrail
AGLJun 4, 2026Jun 25, 2026 +0.57Rtrail
ANABMay 5, 2026May 5, 2026 -1.04Rstop
DOCNMay 1, 2026Jun 9, 2026 +21.55Rtrail
GSATApr 30, 2026Apr 30, 2026 -1.22Rstop
AGXApr 22, 2026Apr 28, 2026 -1.13Rstop
KODApr 22, 2026Apr 22, 2026 -1.03Rstop